Global coal consumption 2000-2030. (Source IEA)
During December, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released its annual coal report, which confirmed that global coal demand will rise for the third consecutive year in 2025, reaching a new all-time high.
The findings reinforce the reality that coal remains a critical pillar of energy security, industrial competitiveness, and economic development. At a time of increasing volatility and strain across global energy systems, the report underscores the need for pragmatic, inclusive energy policies that recognize coal’s continued role alongside efforts to reduce emissions and advance climate objectives.
Key findings from the report include:
Global coal demand is forecast to increase by 0.5% in 2025, reaching a record 8.85 billion metric tons;
Global coal production is expected to hit a new all-time high of 9.11 billion mt in 2025, surpassing the 2024 record; and
Total global electricity generation is projected to rise from approximately 31,100 TWh in 2024 to around 32,200 TWh in 2025, representing an increase of about 3.5% year on year.
“These findings confirm what energy systems around the world are now confronting openly,” said Michelle Manook, CEO, FutureCoal. “Coal remains essential to keeping the lights on, industries operating, and economies stable. After years of being sidelined for political reasons, energy security, affordability, and reliability are firmly back on the table.”
Regionally, coal demand growth reflects the choices of developing and emerging economies that are prioritizing industrialization, population growth, and energy security, often with greater strategic realism than is currently evident in current European policymaking.
The IEA emphasizes that India’s coal consumption is poised for the most significant growth worldwide through 2030, with demand expected to increase by approximately 3% annually, adding over 200 million metric tons (mt). Southeast Asia is projected to see the fastest global growth, with coal demand rising by more than 4% each year amid expanding manufacturing and electricity needs. China remains central, representing over half of global coal consumption, with demand highly dependent on electricity growth, renewable adoption, and investments in coal gasification and advanced coal technologies.
This reassessment extends beyond emerging economies. In the USA, coal demand is set to increase by 8% in 2025, driven by higher gas prices, slower plant retirements and a $625 million commitment by the Department of Energy to modernize the coal fleet, reflecting coal’s vital role in energy security and industrial strength.
The global financial system is adjusting to these realities. Over the past year, net-zero finance alliances have dissolved or been paused as investors acknowledge the limitations of exclusionary strategies, with capital increasingly allocated to performance-driven investments focused on reliability, affordability, and measurable outcomes.
FutureCoal’s Sustainable Coal Stewardship (SCS) framework provides a practical pathway for this transition, emphasizing proven and emerging technologies across the coal value chain that can reduce emissions by up to 99% while boosting the economic value derived from each ton of coal. These include high-efficiency, low-emissions power/heat generation, carbon capture and storage, coal-to-liquids innovations, chemicals, waste reuse, and the extraction of critical minerals from coal.
“The question for policymakers and investors is no longer when coal will be phased out, but whether it will be modernized responsibly,” said Manook. “Sustainable Coal Stewardship aligns energy security, emissions reduction and economic development. The world is moving in this direction, and those who fail to adapt risk being left behind.”
FutureCoal Ltd. is the Global Alliance for Sustainable Coal and the world’s only coal multi-lateral and neutral representative organization.
Source: www.coalage.com
